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    Faculty Profile — Is this you? Login to edit.Last Modified Time: 02:47:53 PM Mon, 4 Oct 2010 
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Patrick T Brandt
Associate Professor-Economic, Political & Policy Sciences
Office MailstopMail Box: GR31, GR 2.802, Room No.: 2.802 
Email Address  pxb054000@utdallas.edu    Primary Phone Number 972-883-4923    URL UTD Webpage    Media Contact
Administrative Assistant:  Help  
Trang, Vy T
 Professional Preparation
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 DegreeMajorInstitutionYear
 Ph.D.Political ScienceIndiana University2001
 M.S.Mathematical Methods in Social SciencesNorthwestern University,1997
 A.B.GovernmentCollege of William and Mary, Williamsburg1994
Collapse Section Expand Section Research and Expertise
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Research Interests

My research on political and social dynamics focuses on the development and application of time series models to forecast international relations, to explicate relationships among public opinion, economic policy and the economy, and to explain patterns of conflict and terrorism. The main time series models employed in this research involve Bayesian statistics, multiple equation or vector autoregression models, methods for producing and evaluating the quality of forecasts, the derivation of new models for time series of counts, and modeling structural change and endogenous shifts in data over time.

This research agenda has been funded by the National Science Foundation and the Center for Economic and Risk Analysis of Terrorist Events (CREATE)

Collapse Section Expand Section Publications
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 1  2 3  
  YearPublication  Type
2013
Brandt, Patrick T. and Todd Sandler. 2012. \A Bayesian Poisson Vector Autoregression Model" Political Analysis. 20(3): 292{315.
Other
2012
Brandt, Patrick T. and Todd Sandler. 2012. \A Bayesian Poisson Vector Autoregression Model" Political Analysis. 20(3): 292-315.
Other
2011
Mason, T. David, Patrick T. Brandt, Mehmet Gurses, and Jason Michael Quinn. 2011. When Civil Wars Recur: Conditions for Durable Peace After Civil Wars" International Studies Perspectives. 12(2): 171{189.
Other
2011
Brandt, Patrick T., John R. Freeman, and Philip A. Schrodt. 2011. Real Time, Time Series Forecasting of Political Conliict" Conflict Management and Peace Science. 28(1): 41{64.
Other
2010
Sattler, Thomas, Patrick T. Brandt, and John R. Freeman. 2010. Democratic Accountability in Open Economies Quarterly Journal of Political Science. 5(1): 71-97.
Category: Quarterly Journal of Political Science
Peer reviewed
Collapse Section Expand Section Presentations and Projects
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  1  2 3 
Start DateEnd DatePresentation/Project
Oct-05 Oct-05 Modeling Macro Political Dynamics: The Pitfalls of Parsimony
Brandt, Patrick T. College of William and Mary
Oct-04 Oct-04 Multiple Time Series Models
Brandt, Patrick T. Two-day workshop on dynamic simultaneous equation, vector autoregression (VAR), and Bayesian VAR models. University of Texas, Dallas, Richardson, TX
Mar-06 Mar-06 Bayesian Multiple Time Series Models
Brandt, Patrick T. Department of Political Science, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX
Mar-02 Mar-02 It's a Dynamic Multivariate Uncertain World: Policy Evaluation in Political Science
Brandt, Patrick T. and John R. Freeman. New Methods Series. University Of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA
Mar-02 Mar-02 Evaluating International Intermediation: A Bayesian Time Series Approach
Brandt, Patrick T. and John R. Freeman. New Methods Series. University Of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA
Collapse Section Expand Section Appointments
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DurationRankDepartment / SchoolCollege / OfficeUniversity / Company
2010-PresentAssociate ProfessorPolitical Science, School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences University of Texas at Dallas
2007-PresentFaculty AssociateCenter for Global Collective Action University of Texas at Dallas
2005-2010Assistant ProfessorPolitical Science, School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences University of Texas at Dallas
2001-2005Assistant ProfessorDepartment of Political Science University of North Texas
 Support
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 DurationTitleSponsorAmountStatus
October 2009-September 2011Development of a Technology for Real-Time Ex Ante Forecasting of Intra and International Con ict and CooperationNational Science Foundation$601,585Previous
October 2009-September 2010Counterterrorism and Terrorism in the Post-9/11 EraCenter for Economic and Risk Analysis of Terrorist Events (CREATE), Department of Homeland Security$130,000Previous
October 2008-September 2009Counterterrorism and Terrorism in the Post-9/11 EraCenter for Economic and Risk Analysis of Terrorist Events (CREATE), Department of Homeland Security$130,000Previous
2004-2006Bayesian Time Series Models for the Analysis of International ConflictNational Science Foundation$312,334Previous
2002-2003Bayesian Time Series Models in Political ScienceResearch Initiation Grant, University of North Texas$4,200Previous
Summer 2002-Summer 2002Junior Faculty Summer Research Fellowship.University of North Texas$5,000Previous
       Teaching HelpHelp  
toggle toggle School activities and committees
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The University of Texas, Dallas
  • Member (elected), School of Economic, Political and Policy Science, Peer Review Committee, 2011-2012.
  • Member, Ad hoc Faculty Committee on Resources and Infrastructure, School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences, 2010-2011.
  • Member, Economics faculty search committee, Fall 2008.
  • Chair, Ad hoc Committee on Quantitative Methods Course Revisions, School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences, Fall 2008.
  • Workshop Presenter "Introduction to LaTeX", Office of Educational Enhancement, July and September 2008; February and June 2009; January 2010.
  • Workshop Presenter, "Assessment Methods for Large Classes", Office of Educational Enhancement, Spring 2008.
  • Member, Political Science Program Committee, Fall 2007-Fall 2009.
  • Co-Advisor, Pi Sigma Alpha, Political Science Honors Society, Fall 2007-present.

University of North Texas
  • Member, Departmental Executive Committee, 2003-2004.
  • Graduate Studies and Ad hoc Computing Committees, Department of Political Science, 2001-2004.
  • Chair, Graduate Studies Committee, Department of Political Science, 2003-2004.
  • Member, College of Arts and Science Computing Committee. 2001-2004.
  • Official Representative, Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research, 2002-2004.

Course and other curricula developed
  • Undergraduate courses developed: Predicting Political Conflict (Fall 2009).
  • Graduate courses developed: Decision Theory (Fall 2006), Maximum Likelihood and Bayesian Models (Fall 2007), Advanced Time Series Analysis (Fall 2008), Advanced Regression Analysis for the Social Sciences (Spring 2009)
  • Workshop Presentation, "Introduction to LaTeX", Office of Educational Enhancement, July and September 2008; February and June 2009; January 2010.
  • Workshop Presentation, "Assessment Methods for Large Classes", Office of Educational Enhancement, Spring 2008.

 Additional Information
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Professional Memberships
  • American Political Science Association
  • Midwest Political Science Association
  • International Studies Association
  • Society for Political Methodology

Honors and other recognitions

Robert H. Durr Award, Midwest Political Science Association's prize for the best paper applying quantitative methods to a substantive problem at the 2006 meeting. Published as Sattler, Thomas, John R. Freeman and Patrick T. Brandt. 2008. Popular Sovereignty and the Room to Maneuver: A Search for a Causal Chain" Comparative Political Studies


Awards and Fellowships
  • Research Fellow, Workshop in Political Theory and Policy Analysis, Indiana University, Fall 1999. John V. Gillespie Memorial Scholarship, Department of Political Science, Indiana University, Summer 1999.
  • Political Science Departmental Fellowship, Indiana University, 1994{1996.
  • Governor's Fellow, Governor's Commission on Government Reform, Richmond, Virginia, Summer 1994.
  • W. Warner Moss Prize, Department of Government, College of William and Mary, 1994.

Profession activities and committees
  • Committee Member, 2013, Society for Political Methodology's Software Award Committee.
  • Associate Editor, Political Analysis. 2013-
  • Member, Editorial Board, International Interactions. 2011-present.
  • Member, Editorial Board, Journal of Conflict Resolution 2010-present.
  • Committee Member, 2010. Society for Political Methodology's Best Graduate Student Poster Award.
  • Committee Member, 2010. Midwest Political Science Association's Robert H. Durr Award best quantitative methods paper.
  • Instructor, Advanced Bayesian Models for the Social Sciences", Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research, University of Michigan, August 2008, 2009, 2010. One week workshop on Bayesian time series models.
  • Chair, John T. Williams Dissertation Prize in Political Methodology, Political Methodology Section, American Political Science Association. 2008-2009.
  • At-Large Council Member, Political Forecasting Group Section, American Political Science Association, 2008{2010.
  • Committee Member, Gosnell Prize for Excellence in Political Methodology, Political Methodology Section, American Political Science Association. 2007.
  • Committee Member, John T. Williams Dissertation Prize in Political Methodology, Political Methodology Section, American Political Science Association. 2006.
  • American Political Science short course, "Event Count Time Series Models," September 1999, Atlanta, Georgia.
  • Reviewer: American Journal of Agricultural Economics, American Journal of Political Science, American Political Science Review, American Politics Research, British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, Chapman & Hall / CRC, Conflict Management and Peace
  • Science, Defence and Peace Economics, Economics and Politics, Foreign Policy Analysis, International Interactions, International Studies Perspectives, International Studies Quarterly, Journal of
  • Conflict Resolution, Journal of Peace Research, Journal of Politics, Journal of Spurious Correlation, Legislative Studies Quarterly, McGraw-Hill, National Science Foundation, Political Analysis,
  • Political Research Quarterly, Quarterly Journal of Political Science, Sage Publications, Statistical Methodology.

Personal Statement
  • Associate Professor, Political Science, School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences, University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, Texas, 2010-present.
  • Instructor, \Advanced Time Series Analysis", Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research, University of Michigan, August 2012. Two week workshop.
  • Instructor, \Advanced Bayesian Models for the Social Sciences", Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research, University of Michigan, Each August 2008{2011. One week workshop on Bayesian time series models.
  • Faculty Associate, Center for Global Collective Action, University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, Texas, 2007-present.
  • Assistant Professor, Political Science, School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences, University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, Texas, 2005-2010.
  • Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, University of North Texas, Denton, Texas, 2001-2005.
  • Visiting Lecturer of American Politics and Methodology, Department of Political Science, IndianaUniversity, Bloomington, Indiana, 2000-2001.

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